Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.770636 0.901619 1.043042 1.206485 1.389547 1.587642 1.817573
2025-09-21 0.538193 0.714764 0.924124 1.187677 1.507407 1.879478 2.341718
2025-09-28 0.407940 0.608380 0.866717 1.216524 1.669581 2.227963 2.958664
2025-10-05 0.317544 0.527602 0.819658 1.241177 1.818161 2.563592 3.580471
2025-10-12 0.251688 0.463237 0.778731 1.260793 1.953094 2.883892 4.198136
2025-10-19 0.197372 0.402160 0.729089 1.256152 2.047098 3.149208 4.753220
2025-10-26 0.151630 0.343082 0.670390 1.226406 2.096434 3.349789 5.225330
2025-11-02 0.122579 0.305766 0.639068 1.232047 2.194021 3.619508 5.802740
2025-11-09 0.093801 0.260852 0.586096 1.193728 2.216983 3.777448 6.223768
2025-11-16 0.076560 0.234886 0.562116 1.199648 2.307498 4.037593 6.802021
2025-11-23 0.061308 0.208689 0.532677 1.191116 2.371335 4.257597 7.327401
2025-11-30 0.053643 0.198773 0.533909 1.237819 2.529927 4.631555 8.099340
2025-12-07 0.045379 0.185141 0.526002 1.268034 2.665258 4.980451 8.856335
2025-12-14 0.035094 0.161864 0.492714 1.244859 2.704718 5.177080 9.386475
2025-12-21 0.029517 0.150879 0.485600 1.273260 2.838756 5.535162 10.185763
2025-12-28 0.024690 0.140326 0.477451 1.298162 2.967321 5.889248 10.991298
2026-01-04 0.020480 0.129993 0.467753 1.318210 3.087275 6.233139 11.791760
2026-01-11 0.016201 0.116936 0.448013 1.313287 3.157869 6.494048 12.464251
2026-01-18 0.012098 0.101755 0.418723 1.282427 3.174115 6.659239 12.982203
2026-01-25 0.009671 0.092924 0.405854 1.288251 3.263547 6.956811 13.730807
2026-02-01 0.006931 0.079727 0.376014 1.248543 3.255723 7.077653 14.181967
2026-02-08 0.005476 0.072943 0.365155 1.254674 3.343300 7.374656 14.942664
2026-02-15 0.004137 0.065326 0.349367 1.245832 3.397705 7.611707 15.605905